This market resolves YES if more than one ballot is required to elect the Speaker of the House for the 119th Congress when voting begins in January 2025. Resolution will be based on official House records from clerk.house.gov.
Resolution criteria:
YES if multiple roll call votes are needed to elect a Speaker
NO if a Speaker is elected on the first ballot
Source for resolution: https://clerk.house.gov/FloorSummary
Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. The unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.
Statement on Liquidity:
If traders on this market independently add Ṁ225 of liquidity to this market, I will upgrade this market to Plus status