Will Eliezer Yudkowsky believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?
Plus
13
Ṁ1984Dec 31
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Just like in the Dan Hendrycks market, it'd be great if Eliezer could provide/suggest some likely criteria for this!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which well-known scientist will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a long recorded conversation with about AI risk, before 2026?
Will Dan Hendrycks believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?
23% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
63% chance
In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?
59% chance
Will a large-scale, Eliezer-Yudkowsky-approved AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
6% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
19% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance
Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?
15% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026
27% chance
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
7% chance