Fire at judge Diane Goodstein's house was arson
16
Ṁ4319
Dec 31
9%
chance

Context: https://www.counton2.com/news/local-news/colleton-county-news/3-injured-in-edisto-beach-fire-sled-investigating/

The judge had previously blocked release of voter files to DOJ: https://www.fitsnews.com/2025/09/11/s-c-supreme-court-strikes-down-order-blocking-voter-data-release/

  • Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not resolve the market early despite a user request, as the investigation is still described as ongoing. The market will wait for the investigation to conclude, which may take additional time for lab tests or other investigative procedures.

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@AlexanderTheGreater The last news about this was three weeks ago where they reported that there was no evidence of arson. There does not appear to be any further investigation. Given the circumstances, would you be willing to resolve this market now?

@Balasar sorry, I think it's safer to wait longer. The investigation was still described as ongoing. I think it's reasonable to assume that there is a non-zero chance the investigation has still not concluded, especially if they were to run lab tests which might take a while.

Husband is a former Democratic South Carolina Senator and both are Jewish: https://www.sccourts.org/courts/trial-courts/circuit-court/judges/diane-schafer-goodstein/

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