Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
Plus
32
Ṁ75062029
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Russian ground troops enter at least one of Estonia, Lithuania or Latvia and the AP calls it an "invasion".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia invade Finland before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
14% chance
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
17% chance
Will the Russian invasion be over by 2025?
6% chance
Will Russia launch a military attack against a NATO member by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO member by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
11% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
14% chance
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
18% chance