Not quite sure I understand what this is asking. Does this resolve to YES if either OpenAI or Anthropic ever has a lower valuation between now and the end of 2030 than it did at the end of 2023?

 Yes, that's correct. I'll look for the most credible valuation for both at the end of 2023. For example, let's say $80 billion for OpenAI and $18.4 billion for Anthropic. If at any time either company has a credible valuation that drops below that, I'll resolve YES. 

Edit: The old question was if either company would have a downround. 

OpenAI or Anthropic could have another round, at an even higher valuation, and then a downround after, which is still higher than their Oct 2023 valuations. So maybe I should change the question to will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation than their Oct 2023 valuations? I like both questions, so I'm not sure.

 I changed the question to more closely track the definition of overvalued.

 by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction." 

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