Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Kalshi by the end of 2024?
Basic
12
Ṁ1486
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

I'll look at the google trend search volume of "Manifold Markets" and "Kalshi" over Dec 2024 and visually decide if Manifold Markets have more search volume than Kalshi
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=%2Fg%2F11y32h_nbl,%2Fg%2F11thczw14_&hl=en
Resolves Yes if Manifold Markets has higher google search volume than Kalshi over Dec 2024.

If someone in the comment session came up with a more rigorous method of determining which term has a higher search volume, I will like use that method for resolution.

Edit: I changed the google trend to a better comparison after the suggestion of @joanna

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