Would a Category 1 or higher hurricane hit New Orleans in 2024?
Basic
16
Ṁ2038Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Can you define the criteria for hitting New Orleans?
If a hurricane makes landfall in Mississippi and New Orleans experiences wind and rain, is that enough to count?
Does the eye wall need to cross over New Orleans?
Does it require hurricane force winds over New Orleans?
@StephenStroup I’ll go with news report. If a new media said the hurricane hits New Orlean, I’ll consider that a YEs resolution
Related questions
Related questions
Will a hurricane that strikes the United States in 2024 cause over $150 billion worth of damage?
7% chance
How many Hurricanes in 2024?
Which US states will experience (operational) hurricane conditions in 2024?
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2024 hurricane season?
2% chance
Will a category 5 hurricane hit the USA before 2026?
40% chance
Will two or more hurricanes enter as or strengthen to Cat 5 in the Gulf of Mexico by Jan.2025?
2% chance
Will a category 5 hurricane form during the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
72% chance
Will Houston have a strong tornado in 2024?
45% chance
Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
64% chance
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
64% chance