Will there be enough volcanic or seismic activity at Campi Flegrei in 2024 to lead to an evacuation?
Basic
12
Ṁ1558
Dec 31
9%
chance

The Campi Flegrei (Phlegraean Fields) caldera in western Naples is increasingly active, and in a densely populated area. Will there, before the end of 2024, be an evacuation of more than 1,000 people due to seismic or volcanic activity?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Related (but I think not a pure arb, since it could be evacuated without erupting?)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules