Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Plus
36
Ṁ45522030
99%
United States
99%
Poland
99%
Finland
98%
United Kingdom
96%
Latvia
96%
Estonia
95%
Montenegro
93%
Netherlands
93%
Greece
92%
Germany
92%
Sweden
90%
Denmark
89%
France
88%
Bulgaria
88%
Lithuania
87%
Romania
84%
Albania
77%
Czechia
60%
Turkey
59%
Italy
The market will resolve as YES for all countries that record in any year between 2024-2030 a budget for military expenditure exceeding 2% of their GDP, as per NATO data (https://www.nato.int/).
This includes any future NATO member, whose number is published by NATO in the time period in question.
For example, the published numbers for 2023 are here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The Economist has published an article on this topic this week
Can Europe defend itself without America? (economist.com)
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will at least 20 NATO members reach the 2% target for defense spending in 2025?
71% chance
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
50% chance
Will penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?
38% chance
Which NATO member states will meet 2% GDP defense spending target by June 2025?
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025?
28
NATO raises defence spending target above 2% GDP by July 2025
63% chance
Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?
34% chance
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
68% chance
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025? [Log Version]
16
Will 18 or more countries in NATO spend 2% of their GDP on defense in 2024?
86% chance