When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
Basic
10
Ṁ3282030
25%
2025 or earlier
31%
2026 or 2027
30%
2028 or 2029
15%
2030 or later
Resolves according to the time of the "habemus papam" announcement in the Vatican time zone (if the announcement straddles the midnight of 1 January, I will flip a coin).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How old will the first Catholic pope after Francis be at election?
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will Pope Francis (Jorge M. Bergoglio) still be Pope on Dec 31, 2024?
93% chance
Who will be the next pope?
In which year will Pope Francis cease to be Pope?
Will there be a new pope elected by the 17th of December 2024?
1% chance
Who will be elected the next Pope after Francis (Jorge Bergoglio)?
What will the first Catholic pope after Francis call himself?
Will Pope Francis die in office?
74% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Francis be from?