Will Section 174 tax changes be reversed in 2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ84
2026
62%
chance

These changes require software engineering salaries to be amortized effectively, producing an artificial profit on paper for many companies.

If an IRS guidance is issued, or a bill is passed and signed that allows software engineer salaries to be deducted in the same year then this market will resolve yes.

The revision does not have to apply to the 2025 tax year.

Prior year question
https://manifold.markets/AviD/will-section-174-tax-changes-be-rev#

https://open.substack.com/pub/pragmaticengineer/p/the-pulse-will-us-companies-hire

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/c86e815d-210a-4677-841d-0caecdef9839

  • Update 2025-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A temporary suspension of the Section 174 requirement will be considered a reversal if it lasts for two tax years or more.

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I will interpret a temporary suspension of the requirement as a reversal as long as it lasts for two tax years or more.

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