Will the US start using frozen Russian assets to finance Ukraine’s military?
Plus
49
Ṁ6045Jan 1
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Larry Summers had a great idea. By end of 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Sketchy The loan hasn't gone into force yet https://g7.utoronto.ca/finance/241025-finance-era.html
"Each bilateral loan will enter into force no later than 30 June 2025. Bilateral loans will be fully disbursed to the benefit of Ukraine between 1 December 2024 and 31 December 2027, in instalments that will reflect Ukraine’s urgent financing needs."
Bipartisan legislation would allow $5-8B of Russian assets to be seized by the US and used to fund Ukraine weapons purchases.
bought Ṁ100 YES
Seems undervalued. The legal structure appears clear - Ukraine sells its reparations claims to the west, who then realises them by seizing Russian assets. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4733340
bought Ṁ40 YES from 53% to 57%
Related questions
Related questions
Will NATO approve $100B to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
44% chance
What will Russia do in response to the US confiscating frozen assets through the REPO Act?
How much money (in billions of USD) will the US give to Ukraine this year?
Will U.S. security assistance to Ukraine drop by more than 50% in FY2024?
20% chance
Will the US provide more aid to Ukraine in 2025 vs 2024?
19% chance
Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ?
73% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
9% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
6% chance
Will US send ground troops to Ukraine before 31th December 2024?
4% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
8% chance