By what year will there be more human alive than humans dead?
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Plus
16
Ṁ1402
3000
4%
2030
5%
2035
8%
2040
8%
2045
14%
2050
46%
2070
49%
2100
66%
2500
50%
3000
69%
Not by 3000

Currently, there's around 8 billion humans alive, and around 100 billion that have died. If 100 billion humans were born tomorrow, all options would resolve YES, because 108 billion alive > 100 billion dead.

I might add more options for finer predictions if there's need for it.

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Birth rates are collapsing. There is some growth to come e.g. by 2050 it might be ~102bn dead ~9bn alive so even here the difference 93bn is growing (up from 92bn). Then it looks like population will level off ~10bn but the number of dead keeps rising so this increases difference at a faster rate. Expanding to Moon and Mars doesn't increase land area hugely (just ~double?) and will people want to live there or in space/orbit?

3000 is a long time and nobody knows exactly what will happen. A cure for aging and all diseases is only possibility. More likely diseases out evolve our rate of cures development.

Anyway 4% in 6 years doesn't impress me as a rate of return and the longer options are worse, so the prices should be higher despite being impossible to occur.

Like for this one every single person should make 2 babies every year lol. Couples should have 4 babies a year. And im counting elderly and children as well.

If a human mind runs inside a computer, do they count or is this carbon-only?

@BrunoParga Uhhhhhhh that's a tough one, my intuitive answer is, if they have consciousness like a human does, they count, butttttttttttt that is questionably verifiable. hmmmmm

bought Ṁ40 NO

unless we explode in numbers once we colonize the space we will never exceed that number. and the chances are it will take so long to colonize space by then people dead will be a few hundred billion. so the answer to this question is very likely never.

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