DeepMind beats OpenAI in the IMO 2025? (tie resolves NO)
27
Ṁ2479
in a day
2%
chance

  • Update 2025-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Following a discussion about a potential tie, the creator has confirmed the market will resolve to NO in such a scenario, rescinding a previously considered N/A or partial resolution.

  • Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that if no official IMO grading is available, the market may resolve based on self-reported scores from the companies (e.g., from internal graders), if that is the best data available.

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OpenAI at least has not been graded by the IMO though, so how do you want to evaluate this? Use OpenAI's word (or rather their internal graders) for it?

@AndreasKirsch Yea, if that’s the best we get

um..

boughtṀ100NO

oh wait i just realized, i intended it to N/A or 50% or wtv if they tie to avoid biasedness, were you betting based on a tie?

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 52% order

@Bayesian 😩

nah it's ok i'll lose the mana

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