Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for District 13. If the election is not held, the market resolves N/A. In the unlikely event of redistricting between now and the election, this market will follow District 13 even if the number of seats changes.
Background
Hugo Soto-Martinez is the current incumbent for Los Angeles City Council District 13, having won the seat in the 2022 election by defeating then-incumbent Mitch O'Farrell. Soto-Martinez's 2022 victory was supported by progressive groups, including the Democratic Socialists of America and labor unions.
District 13 includes neighborhoods such as Hollywood, Silver Lake, Echo Park, and parts of Koreatown.
Considerations
Los Angeles City Council elections typically occur in even-numbered years
Incumbents often have an advantage in local elections, but this can vary based on their performance in office and constituent satisfaction
New candidates may enter the race as the election approaches
Local issues such as housing, homelessness, public safety, and economic development are likely to be key factors in the campaign