Will tesla autopilot reach level 5 by the end of this decade?
Will tesla autopilot reach level 5 by the end of this decade?
Plus
53
Ṁ56952029
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
So if Full self driving reaches level 5 but autopilot still exist as assistance does this resolve yes or no?
Waiting 6 or 7 years without ability to trade out of claim does not seem attractive. I suggest people with holding trade out now in the last few hours when it is possible.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
5% chance
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
89% chance
Will Tesla achieve unsupervised FSD in 2025?
20% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2025?
42% chance
What self-driving level SAE will Telsa self-driving be at the end of 2025?
What self-driving level SAE will Telsa self-driving be at the end of 2025?
What will be true about Tesla FSD by end 2025?
Will Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
20% chance
Once level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?
25% chance