Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Premium
51
Ṁ64k2029
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Settles Yes if gay marriage is illegal on the federal level on the day prior to the last day Trump is president.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market resolves to Yes if there is a federal law explicitly prohibiting gay marriage, even if individual states have laws permitting it (similar to the current federal/state dynamic with marijuana).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@UnspecifiedPerson If there's a federal law against it. So if a state says it's legal, but federal law says "no" like marijuana is right now, this would settle to "yes"
bought Ṁ250 NO
I thought ai had hands figured out. Amazing stencil of the continental us + Hawaii though.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump institute a transgender military ban within 24 hours of taking office?
17% chance
Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?
32% chance
Will same-sex marriage remain legal in Texas until 2030?
68% chance
Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
27% chance
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2030?
Will same-sex marriage be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?
3% chance
Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?
14% chance
Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?
18% chance
Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
95% chance