If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ1956
2029
68%
Josh Shapiro
62%
Jon Stewart
57%
Dwayne Johnson
55%
Michelle Obama
54%
Mark Cuban
50%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
48%
Tim Walz
48%
Pete Buttigieg
48%
Gretchen Whitmer
47%
Raphael Warnock
46%
Andrew Yang
45%
Cory Booker
45%
Stacey Abrams
45%
Beto O'Rourke
40%
Chuck Schumer
40%
Hakeem Jeffries
39%
Gavin Newsom
34%
Andrew Cuomo
34%
Stephen A. Smith
25%
Kamala Harris

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules