Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
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56%
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Resolves Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated president in 2028, presumably after winning the electoral college. Resolves no if a Republican or third party is inaugurated instead.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The winner of a 2028 election gets inaugurated in 2029, so you should probably update the description. Also, how would you resolve it if no new president is inaugurated in 2029 (for whatever reason)? I'd assume yes, since the question is about a democrat positively winning but maybe you think it should N/A
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