Data is currently at
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.csv
or
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
(or such updated location for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data)
The relevant figure for resolving this question is the J-D column for the 2024 year.
January 2024 might show as 122 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.22C above the 1951-1980 base period. If it shows as 1.22 then it is in degrees i.e. 1.22C. Same logic/interpretation as this will be applied.
If the version or base period changes then I will consult with traders over what is best way for any such change to have least effect on betting positions or consider N/A if it is unclear what the sensible least effect resolution should be.
Numbers expected to be displayed to hundredth of a degree. The extra digit used here is to ensure understanding that +1.20C does not resolve an exceed 1.205C option as yes.
First plausible number I see or is pointed out to me shall be used for resolution. This is so that subsequent revisions to data should not cause re-resolution unless there is a clear problem with the first resolution data used.
D-N shown as 1.29 and consensus seems likely less than last years 1.35 for Dec.
At https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/global-average-temperature-december
JRP seems to believe in much lower values like less than 1.2C for Dec
This would seem to suggest 1.28 or lower, but here there seems more preference for 1.29+