This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
Mugshot series:
Will an official mugshot of George Soros be published before his death?3%
Will an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?10%
Will an official mugshot of Joe Biden be published before his death?2%
Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death?7%
Will an official mugshot of Nancy Pelosi be published before her death?4%
Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death?7%
Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death?20%
Will an official mugshot of any current Democratic senator be published before 2030?64%
Will an official mugshot of any current Democratic senator be published before 2040?74%
Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2030?72%
Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2040?56%
1,000
3.00When you say "Current" you mean has to be a Senator as of this questions creation, yes? Or do you mean they have to be a sitting Republican Senator when the mugshot is taken?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00