Who is Trump's Prigozhin?
Who is Trump's Prigozhin?
Basic
3
Ṁ242029
13%
JD Vance
13%
Sean O'Brien
34%
Pete Hegseth
21%
No Similar Relationship
17%
Stephen Miller
15%
resolves to the poll at end of trump admin add your own suggestion
In considering who might serve a similar role for former U.S. President Donald Trump, one would look for an individual losely exhibiting the following traits:
Personal Loyalty: A trusted associate with a history of unwavering support for Trump.
Control Over a Paramilitary or Militant Organization: Leadership of a group capable of executing operations that align with Trump's interests, potentially outside traditional military structures.
Operational Autonomy with Tacit Approval: The ability to conduct activities independently, yet with implicit consent from higher authorities.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00