Will the first human level AGI be Neuromorphic/WBE rather than Prosaic? | Manifold

Will the first human level AGI be Neuromorphic/WBE rather than Prosaic?

Basic

7

Ṁ347

2048

30%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

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predictedNO

Why is this closed?

By "prosaic AI", I assume you mean neural networks only, and not first-principles decision-theoretic approaches?

predictedYES

@IsaacKing Yes, the latter would resolve the market as N/A

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Related questions

Will we consider the first AGI system to be neuro-symbolic?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will the first robotic AGI be developed using a transformer-like architecture?

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

Will the first AGI be built mostly within the deep learning paradigm?

Whole brain emulation will come before de novo AGI

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

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