Will 2025 have days where the S&P 500 both increases and decreases by over 5%? | Manifold

Will 2025 have days where the S&P 500 both increases and decreases by over 5%?

Plus

14

Ṁ8692

2026

55%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

i.e. there is a day it increases >5%, and another day it decreases by 5%

close to close so that we cover the entire interval.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

A -5% day has now occured. If there's a big rally day at any point this year, this resolves Yes.

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