Per https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/09/spacexs-lesson-from-last-starship-flight-we-need-to-seal-the-tiles/ :

"This matches a recent comment by Musk, who said SpaceX will likely attempt to catch and recover Starship back at Starbase somewhere around Flight 13 to 15, depending on the outcomes of the next couple of test flights."

@EvanDaniel Would they announce beforehand if they were going to attempt something like that?

@Eliza I assume so. They've announced booster catch plans or lack thereof fairly consistently. They file NOTAMs for splashdown zones.

They'd need a different FAA license, and eventually we'd see it in their flight plan. Elon might tweet about it before any of that.

Can you add an option for 11?

@SimonWestlake I'm not sure I want to spend the mana on that, but I made it so or people can add options. Go for it if you want!

@SimonWestlake Added it.

9 Resolves No

@EvanDaniel 8 resolves NO

@mods

@RyanTyznar alright, I can resolve on behalf of Evan.

@Eliza any chance you can resolve this one too?

I think adding 11 is worthwhile now given the distribution currently puts it at about 60-70%

@RyanTyznar agreed!

7 Resolves No

@EvanDaniel
6 can resolve no