This market aims to assess the likelihood of Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States, being alive at the close of 31 December 2026. The health and longevity of former presidents are subjects of significant public interest, particularly given their roles in shaping national and global policy. Factors for consideration in this market include publicly known details about Trump's health, lifestyle habits, age-related risks, and any statistical life expectancy data pertinent to his demographic profile.
Participants are urged to approach their analysis and contributions with the utmost respect and decorum. Speculative discussions should rely on information that is publicly accessible and should be framed respectfully, avoiding invasive or derogatory commentary.
The resolution of this market will hinge on verifiable, public evidence concerning Donald Trump's life status as of the specified date.
1,000
3.00Trump deserves no respect nor decorum. He's an idiot. Also, ethical considerations don't really factor into this market, unless you mean that we shouldn't kill him ourselves.
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00