
Which company will create AGI first?
Plus
61
Ṁ36152036
16%
US Government
13%
OpenAI
12%
Anthropic
11%
DeepMind
9%
DeepSeek
9%
Communist Party of China
8%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
7%
6%
Meta
5%
people not employed by a company
4%
xAI
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2027?
15% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
59% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
32% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?