Resolves based on my subjective opinion, to the most applicable option. If multiple options are clearly applicable (eg. "This order adds tariffs and withdraws the US from NATO", it resolves to the options equally). If you would like to add more options, feel free to suggest.
1,000
3.00Do you have in mind what the first 24 to 48 hours will look like?
I'll be looking at J6 early on, maybe the first nine minutes.
https://time.com/7201565/person-of-the-year-2024-donald-trump-transcript/
@ChrisMillsc5f7 If it was just about the WHO, it would be 50% healthcare, 50% foreign policy. Withdrawing from the Paris Agreement would be 100% Climate Change/The Environment (a new category).
It's not a perfect arb for a few reasons, but I think there might be something here: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-trumps-first-executive-order-b
@Fion yes beyond "subjective judgment differs" b/w me & gabrielle i'd say the only real difference is that gabrielle's market could potentially spslit its resolutions between options if it's sufficiently broad so should probably trade a bit below mine