As clarification, I am using my current net worth as of creating this question (Ṁ1,118) as the baseline. Doubling my net worth would be Ṁ2236 or higher. If there is any point between the creation of this question and Feb 1st that my net worth reaches or exceeds that value, this question will resolve as YES. Otherwise, this question will resolve as NO on Feb 1st, EST.
P.S. I may miss a point. If you find it, please @ me and I will resolve when I can.
Also: I will, ofc, not be able to resolve at exactly 12:00 AM Feb 1st, but if my net worth reaches that point only after Feb 1st I will still resolve as NO.
To avoid conflict of interest, I will not bet on this market.
Update 2024-13-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Mana earned through any means (including streaks, push notifications, etc.) will count towards net worth
Purchased Mana will not count towards net worth
1,000
3.00@Gameknight to clarify: since this question is about net worth it also includes mana bonuses for streaks, enabling push notifications, etc. right?
@SisyphosDale Yes, it includes any Mana earned in any way. However, purchasing Mana will not count (and I would not purchase Mana regardless as I have no money).
@Gameknight Yeah that makes sense, thanks for clarifying. I already thought it was doable just on profit, but between streak bonuses and unique trader bonuses on this and other questions that makes me very optimistic.
I bet you could do it. I’m making about 400 profit a month on almost exclusively 5M and 10M trades, so even smaller accounts like us can get somewhere. I’m not particularly smart and don’t have special insight either.
I think it depends on how much you use manifold.
Probability also decreases if you make any large trades IMO, cause losing is especially discouraging. Slow and steady is my unsolicited advice.