Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030? | Manifold

Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?

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20

Ṁ1335

2030

27%

chance

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1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Russia annexes or occupies territory that was previously controlled by Georgia or Georgia suffers over 100 casualties due to Russian military action.

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#🇷🇺 Russia

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

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This would resolve positive if Russia salami slices a little more land on the border?

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