Will a new record for average global temperature happen on Earth before 2030?
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19
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2031
98%
chance

  • Update 2025-07-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the market will resolve to YES if a new record for the warmest year is set in any year up to and including 2030.

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It seems 2024 was the warmest one yet on record, according to this link, should this resolve the market? @Gugra https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_surface_temperature#Warmest_years

@JussiVilleHeiskanen hello Jussi I actually created this market because 2024 was the current year on record , I will resolve if this year or the next ones till 2030 become the new warmest year on record

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