Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025
Basic
3
Ṁ65Dec 31
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this article: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/01/17/1110086/openai-has-created-an-ai-model-for-longevity-science/
Resolves to "yes" if OpenAI announces a model which has a name containing the string "GPT-4b" (case insensitive) and otherwise resolves to "no"
Releasing the model is not required for the market to resolve to "yes". It's enough that OpenAI announces that they have created such model
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the fifth major model iteration of OpenAI contain the string "GPT-5" in its name (API)?
67% chance
OpenAI's next major AI model will be more open than GPT-4 by June 30, 2025
By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
Will OpenAI change their naming scheme (GPT-X) with the successor to GPT-4? (Ṁ200 subsidy!)
4% chance
Will OpenAI release a model referred to as "GPT-6" before June 1st, 2026?
16% chance
Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?
95% chance