Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
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predictedNO 2y
@StrayClimb But proving the problem would also prove that it's provable. So it's impossible to prove that they can't be proven possible or impossible, since, in doing so, you would prove that they are impossible, a contradiction.
predictedNO 2y
@StrayClimb I'm not going to go over each problem, but eg. RH is \Pi^0_1 and one of two Turing Machines must halt with a proof or counterexample.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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