
Will websites give up on bot detection using captcha-like tasks by 2028?
Plus
46
Ṁ18932028
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A "captcha-like task" is any task designed to be easily doable on a computer by a human and very difficult for bots.
If websites are still frequently using such tasks at the beginning of 2029, this market resolves NO. If they've switched over to other forms of verification like third-party documentation (e.g. a driver's license), biometric data, or given up entirely on telling bots apart from humans, it resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?
11% chance
Which popular websites will be conquered by the bots by the end of 2025?
Will it be effectively impossible to tell a human and a high quality AI apart on social media before 2026?
75% chance
Will we see highly sophisticated AI-based aged account sockpuppet swarms before the end of 2025?
89% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
22% chance
OpenAI Agent continue refusing to do captchas by mid-2026?
53% chance
When will AI be better at Captcha than an average human
will people still mostly use AI through a textbox on a website/app in August 2027?
67% chance
Will photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?
31% chance
Would internet bot traffic reach 90% by 2028?
37% chance