If we discover the Charlie Kirk assassin, will it be
73
Ṁ3356
Sep 18
16%
A super far-left political activist
1.3%
Someone with a personal (apolitical) vendetta against Kirk
0.5%
A foreign agent (e.g., Russian), intent on sewing dissent in the American public
9%
A "false flag" republican operation designed to heighten sentiment against the political left and excuse new draconian pro-Trump policies
20%
A socially liberal groyper
39%
Generally left leaning
4%
someone who is super far-right
11%
Other

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

How will you resolve this? Mainstream reporting? (NYT WSJ WaPo...)

filled a Ṁ1 YES at 38% order

Will it only resolve to one option, or will the options resolve Yes/No separately? I think the market will have more longevity that way.

filled a Ṁ1 YES at 22% order

Orders up for socially liberal groyper

Why is "super far right" not an option? The Fuentes arm loathed Kirk

I don't expect the assassin to be "super far" left on many issues other than the acceptability of assassination

Arb:

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules