Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Achieve Silver Medal Performance on the 2025 IMO?
16
Ṁ294Dec 31
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve when the model first comes out and is tested
Update 2025-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - No Deep Think or parallel compute: Results using Deep Think or any parallel compute system will not count toward resolution; only standard, non-parallel inference will be considered.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Gemini 3.0 Pro METR score release in 2025?
71% chance
Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?
80% chance
Gemini 3 Pro exits preview by EOY?
22% chance
Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Preview have very low rate limits OR high latency OR multiple unstable weights?
21% chance
Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?
28% chance
Who will overtake Gemini 2.5 pro when?
How many will Gemini 3.0 achieve? [Read description]
-