Other than ClaudePlaysPokemon, which AIs will have their own Twitch streams (>24 hrs) playing video games by EOY 2025?
Other than ClaudePlaysPokemon, which AIs will have their own Twitch streams (>24 hrs) playing video games by EOY 2025?
6
Ṁ3372026
50%
Deepseek R2
34%
Llama 4
34%
Gemini 2 Flash Thinking
27%
Claude 4
25%
DeepSeek R1
14%
Grok 3
9%
GPT 4.5
With the advent of ClaudePlaysPokemon (https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon), how many will follow? As an arbitrary cutoff, the stream must last at least 24 hours.
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bought Ṁ10 Grok 3 NO9d
To clarify, with Gemini Plays Pokemon, I would have resolved YES if Gemini 2.5 had been an option. https://www.twitch.tv/gemini_plays_pokemon
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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