How many games will Ding Liren WIN in the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?

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Ṁ16k

resolved Dec 12

100%98.9%

0.2%

0.5%

0.2%

4 or more

How many games will Ding Liren win against Gukesh D? This high-stakes match is provisionally scheduled between November 20 and December 15, 2024

Ding Liren:

- Current World Champion

- Peak FIDE Rating: 2816

- Known for his solid, strategic play and resilience in tough positions.

Gukesh D:

- Young prodigy and rising star

- Peak FIDE Rating: 2763

- Renowned for his aggressive and dynamic style.

There are 14 classical games slated. Betting will stop after the penultimate game, and before the last classical game begins, or Ding successfully wins at least 4 games.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Ding v. Gukesh

#️ Chess

#2024 World Chess Championship

#Ding Liren

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1,000

and

3.00

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Final score 3 wins to 2 wins. Congrats to Gukesh!

Ding wins game 12!

Current score

Ding: 2 wins
Gukesh: 2 wins

Games left: 2

Gukesh wins game 11!

Current score

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 2 wins

Games left: 3

Game 10 is a draw

Current score:

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 4

Game 9 is a draw

Current score:

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 5

Game 8 is a draw

Current score:

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 6

Game 7 is a draw

Current score:

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 7

Game 6 is a draw

Current score:

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 8

Game 5 is a draw

Current score:

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 9

Game 4 is a draw

Current score:

Ding: 1 win
Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 10

Gukesh wins game 3!

Current score: Ding 1.5 - Gukesh 1.5

Games left: 11

Game 2 is a draw :)

Current score: Ding 1.5 - Gukesh 0.5

Games left: 12

Ding wins game 1!

Current score: Ding 1 - Gukesh 0
Games left: 13

https://www.espn.in/chess/story/_/id/42264924/ding-liren-d-gukesh-chess-world-championships-worried-losing-badly

Right now, both markets predict the most likely outcome is 3-0 Gukesh over Ding. Interesting.

@JohnCarpenter update. 2-0 Gukesh

Also have the inverse market up, now

https://manifold.markets/JohnCarpenter/how-many-games-will-gukesh-d-win-in?r=Sm9obkNhcnBlbnRlcg

Updated description with a bit more info

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