Including pretrial detention. For each interval the first number is inclusive and the second number is exclusive. Resolves whenever Trump is either dead or a free man (not just out on bail).
Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Georgia case is dismissed before any new criminal case is brought against Trump, this market will resolve to <1 year at that time.
1,000
3.00The georgia case is still live and trump is still technically out on bail for that. Both of the DC cases (mishandling documents and Jan6) were dismissed. The New York Case (hush money for Stormy) was resolved with a sentence of zero. If the Georgia case is dismissed before any new criminal case is brought against trump, this will resolve to <1 year at that time.