In most past years, TIME has released a shortlist of people they considered naming as person of the year, in addition to the winner. If an answer submitted to this market is on the 2024 POTY list, including the winner, it resolves to YES.
An answer can resolve YES even if TIME does not use the exact wording of the answer, or if that person is a subcategory of a nominated group. The exception to this is if the option says "specifically" like the ChatGPT option does to distinguish it from the overall AI option.
If there is not a shortlist this year, all options resolve N/A except the winner and [There will be no shortlist].
This is an independent free response market, anyone can submit an answer and if other people trade on those answers you will receive unique trader bonuses.
For reference, the 2023 Shortlist was:
You can find other TIME markets by me here:
/Joshua/who-will-be-the-time-person-of-the-6ef43addcc5b
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3.00@benshindel you can claim neither of them really “matter” as pop culture figures i guess (i would disagree) but Kate Middleton is a fair bit more globally famous/noteworthy (and generally far more people cared scout her news this year) than Caitlin Clark so I have no idea why she would be a surprise inclusion on the shortlist compared to an athlete (who is extremely US-centric)
@Ziddletwix sure but this year, she was notable mostly for her disappearance from public life, no? (and like I said, I agree my Caitlin Clark take is insane)
@benshindel she was mostly famous for the cancer diagnosis that followed the disappearance. POTY has many definitions but one of them is just “a lot of people care” and it was a very big deal when a beloved world figure announced a cancer diagnosis
@Ziddletwix I agree that the royal family has a lot more global relevance, but I think the particular relevance of Caitlin Clark is that (in addition to being a March Madness sensation at the start of the year) she basically transformed the WNBA overnight from an underperforming and niche interest to potentially the first American women's sports league that has a chance of breakout appeal into the echelon of men's sports leagues, which would be a paradigm shift. I don't think that's even an exaggeration. Attendance to games increased by 50% (!) YOY (which is nuts), and they DOUBLED TO TRIPLED viewership on TV and streaming platforms (!). Like, not just Caitlin Clark games, but the narrative-building and general interest increase due to her trickled down across the league in a massive way.
Obviously the WNBA is less of a deal than the royal family is by an order of magnitude, but the happenings around Kate Middleton were only newsworthy because it has been a VERY VERY dry year for the royal family.
What a boring and unimaginative shortlist
@Odoacre it would have indicated a modicum of thoughtfulness to include someone like Pelicot or a last minute inclusion of Syrian rebels. People who show some bravery instead of just being loud and annoying. Even Navalnaya hasn't done very much with her platform.
@TiredCliche he easily won his beef, had a months-spanning chart-topping hit, got booked for the Super Bowl, and dropped an album critics are calling his best in a while. I feel like he's at LEAST making the shortlist.
@benshindel I don't think it's 50%, but it's very silly that he was ranked below Gavin Newsome and Sam Altman before I started betting him up.