"The Presidential Medal of Freedom is not just our nation's highest civilian honor—it's a tribute to the idea that all of us, no matter where we come from, have the opportunity to change this country for the better. From scientists, philanthropists, and public servants to activists, athletes, and artists, these 21 individuals have helped push America forward, inspiring millions of people around the world along the way." - President Obama.

This is an unlinked free response market, you can submit the name of anyone and if they get the Presidential Medal of Freedom before 2026, their name will resolve to YES. All remaining names at market close will be resolved to NO. When someone trades on a name you submitted, you'll receive unique trader bonuses and the answer will get liquidity from Manifold!

A full list of past recipients can be found here.

These are the people Biden has given the medal to so far:

But note that as this market persists until 2026, the next president may also get to award some medals that resolve this market!

You may also submit meta answers like [At least 5 correct names are submitted to this market before announcement]. Any such answers will also count subsequent versions of this market, if I have to make another one after hitting 100 answers.

If you would like to make a shorter term bet, you can do that by adding [By {Date}] to the end of an option. If that date passes without that person receiving the medal, I will resolve their name no.

If you would like to predict specifically who will receive the award "With Distinction", you can do so at the companion market /Joshua/who-will-next-receive-the-president