Trump approval rating 45% or higher on Fourth of July?
7
Ṁ325Jul 4
58%
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Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated July 4th, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Notes:
Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.
If the approval dips below 45.0% at some point, but rises back above by July 4th, the market will still resolve to YES.
In the event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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