If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later? | Manifold

If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?

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Jan 20

1.8%

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1M

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Resolves according to Silver Bulletin polling data about Trump's approval rating if he is elected, otherwise, resolves N/A.

If his approval rating is 50.0%, resolves as 50%.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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Are you planning to resolve based on another tracker (e.g. Silver Bulletin, which is billed as a direct successor to fivethirtyeight) now that fivethirtyeight is gone and not tracking anything anymore?

@SeekingEternity I will use Silver Bulletin, thanks for reminding me

Market for Biden

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