#1 searched Person on Google this year? (2025)
45
Ṁ4077
Dec 31
35%
Pope Leo XIV
10%
Donald Trump
9%
Elon Musk
45%
Other

This market resolves based on the individual ranked #1 in the “People” section of Google’s official Year in Search 2025 – Global list. Google’s report includes multiple sections such as Searches, News, Passings, and People — only the People section applies to this market. If Liam Payne is #1 in “Searches” but Donald Trump is #1 in “People,” the market resolves Yes to Donald Trump. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

  • Update 2025-10-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Google's Year in Search rankings are based on search interest growth ("trending"), not total search volume.

  • A person can be searched millions of times every year (like Donald Trump or Taylor Swift) and still not rank #1, because Google is measuring momentum — how much their search interest increased versus the previous year.

  • Someone who experiences a sudden global event (e.g., Damar Hamlin in 2023, Johnny Depp in 2022, Alec Baldwin in 2021) can top the list due to a large relative spike, even if their total searches are lower overall.

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bought Ṁ25 YES

I struggle to see how it could end up being Pope Leo.

@Xiphias not sure just basing it off of Kalshi odds

@Xiphias Google’s rankings are actually based on search interest growth (“trending”), not total searches.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Bullish on Pope Leo 👍

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