Conditional on Trump getting/not getting Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?
35
Ṁ1483Dec 24
0.4%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, no land conflict with Venezuela
0.4%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela
21%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, land conflict with Venezuela
78%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, no land conflict with Venezuela
Any strikes or troops on Venezuela land territory counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2025?
21% chance
US Military action again Venezuela in 2025?
21% chance
USA strikes Venezuela in first 2 weeks of December 2025?
4% chance
Will Donald Trump be President of the United States on December 30th, 2025?
99% chance
Will Trump break with Netanyahu in 2025?
3% chance
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela before 2027
63% chance
In 2025, iff Half-Life 3 announced then US-Venezuela Conflict? (Resolves XNOR)
91% chance
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2026?
48% chance
Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)
97% chance
Will Trump be president on 12/31/2025?
97% chance