Will president Trump fire Jerome Powell before EOY 2025?
60
Ṁ12k
Dec 31
14%
chance

  • Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Fired is defined strictly as an explicit unexpected termination of employment, not including any form of coerced or pressured resignation or termination as scheduled.

    • If Jerome Powell is pushed or pressured to resign rather than being formally fired, the outcome will resolve as a NO.

  • Update 2025-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the action of firing by President Trump, not the result of that action (e.g., whether Jerome Powell actually leaves his position).

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What if he’s fired and doesn’t leave

@AlecStais4424 resolves according to action by Trump, not result.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Liquidity added!

bought Ṁ80 NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen just to confirm, you intend to resolve with a strict definition of "fire", right? So for example, Jerome being pushed to resign would count as a NO resolution?

@bence correct

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