Will Donald Trump indicate publicly that he might take a plea deal in the Georgia indictment?
Will Donald Trump indicate publicly that he might take a plea deal in the Georgia indictment?
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No matter what we think of him, he is full of surprises. He might say it with sarcasm or as a joke or as a challenge or as a threat.
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Marty, thanks for writing. The answer is no. The resolution won’t come until the case is resolved. A long but interesting saga, perhaps.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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