Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? (Polymarket)
10
Ṁ220
Mar 31
40%
chance

Resolves the same as: https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-travels-outside-venezuela-by-march-31?tid=1764814476370

Listed description of the polymarket is the following:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

  • Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve exactly as the Polymarket market resolves, regardless of whether that resolution matches the actual facts. The creator will not independently verify or override Polymarket's resolution decision.

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A remote contingency, but wonder about a Julian Assange scenario, as in inside an embassy. No need to reply unless of course it becomes an actual eventuality. Time enough to sort it out then in good faith.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I can't add clarification to the resolution criteria for this market. It will resolve to what ever polymarket resolves their market to. If polymarket resolves their market contrary to the facts (as has happened a few time before) this market will also resolve that way.

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