Will we see a successful song that uses an AI-generated version of Grimes' voice in 2023?
Will we see a successful song that uses an AI-generated version of Grimes' voice in 2023?
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Ṁ77Jan 1
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Context:
https://twitter.com/Grimezsz/status/1650304051718791170
"Successful" in this context is entirely up to Grimes. If Grimes deems a song that uses an AI-generated version of her voice "successful," then this market resolves YES.
This is regardless of whether she follows through on the 50% royalty offer. She just has to indicate publicly that in her opinion, the song is "successful."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@LarsDoucet Does she have to use the word "successful"/"success", or could she just say a song was really great? What if she said a song was a masterpiece or something like that?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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