Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland. If the United States acquires at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves YES.
@MichaelMahemoff the people of Greenland are unlikely to choose to cede parts of their territory to a foreign power for "protection". Denmark is unlikely to choose to cede parts of Greenland while it holds sovereignty, mobster tactics are even less likely to work on them.
@DevonFritz that's missing the point. The "value" is irrelevant to the people of Greenland because not everything is about money. Countries are not more special than other countries.
@MalachiteEagle I strongly disagree. Being a citizen of the US and a citizen of Greenland carry wayyyy different values. Do you believe people form both countries are equally likely to take an e.g. $1 mil buyout?
I'm trading on the possibility that US buys a parcel for a military purposes. Seems like a useful place for missile interceptors, ports, airbases, radars, etc.
@LeeBressler The timeline is a bit long for what we normally sweepify. Will consider if there is some variant that makes sense and doesn't risk ambiguous scenarios emerging.
@Manifold would it make more sense to create a new market with an expiration that is sooner? It’s tricky because I tied the duration of the market to Trump’s term…
@LeeBressler that is nothing compared to the value of Greenland. China, for example, would be willing to pay trillions for it.
@LeeBressler Would you auction off your own family members if they became a financial burden? There are lots of emotional reasons to not sell it.